Fed Lowers U.S. Growth Outlook for 2025

Markets rally ahead of Fed decision, oil drops on Iran talks

Federal Reserve lowers U.S. economic growth forecast to 1.4%

TL;DR:

📉 Fed cuts U.S. growth forecast
📈 Wall Street rallies before rate decision
🛢️ Oil falls as Iran open to talks
⚠️ Trump weighs military action in Iran

📉 Fed Cuts U.S. Growth Forecast

The Federal Reserve lowered its 2025 economic growth forecast to 1.4%, down from 1.7%, while maintaining interest rates at 4.25-4.5%. This cautious outlook signals concerns about persistent inflation and slowing expansion, pushing investors to adjust expectations for future rate cuts. Source

📈 Wall Street Rallies Before Rate Decision

Major U.S. indexes gained, with the Dow Jones up 168 points, as investors positioned ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The rally reflects market optimism that policy will stay supportive despite the lowered growth outlook. Source

🛢️ Oil Falls as Iran Open to Talks

Oil prices dropped nearly 2% after President Trump signaled Iran's willingness to negotiate, easing immediate supply fears tied to Middle East tensions. Traders reacted by reducing risk premiums, leading to a swift pullback in crude futures. Source

⚠️ Trump Weighs Military Action in Iran

President Trump is considering military strikes against Iran amid escalating regional tensions, with a decision expected shortly. The prospect of conflict remains a risk factor for global markets and commodity pricing. Source

Federal Reserve lowers U.S. economic growth forecast to 1.4%